My Life My Trade » Market Forecast

$SPX Target is 1035-1040

mylifemytrade — Mon, 21 Sep 2009 14:03:40 +0000

A quick peek at the SPX daily chart for past 9 months shows that all retracements to the downside have ended at the prior swing highs. Since nothing much has changed, the expectation is for the prior swing high of 1040 to provide nice support area.There is a small caveat though: As SPX has progressed upwards, the topping around each swing high is becoming smaller and smaller in duration, which means that the support provided by each prior swing high is becoming weaker and weaker.

And one of these days, the prior swing high WILL NOT provide the expected support, which should lead to much significant downside. The most recent swing high around 1070 lasted only 2-3 days. Whenever this region gets tested on the move down, IMO, it will crack.

Key ES levels for Today

mylifemytrade — Tue, 18 Aug 2009 12:52:10 +0000

are 982.5, 988 and 992.

A move above 992 will do a serious damage to the IT bear case IMO. The bounce should take ES to at least 988 and if not for the opex week, it would have been achieved in the first 30 minutes of the day. However the opex week gyrations make this complicated.

Potential support levels for ES, NQ, TF

mylifemytrade — Mon, 17 Aug 2009 12:06:19 +0000