Archive

Archive for June, 2009

Plan & Trades for Jul 1, 2009

Going forward, all the trades for a given day will be posted in the comments section for the “Plan & Trades” post for that date. I will stop making a separate post for individual trade. It just unnecessarily increases the number of posts making it a huge inconvenience to go through the blog.

At the end of the day, I will summarize all the trades and edit the “Plan & Trades” post to include the trades here.

Plan for Jul 1, 2009: Ahead of the long weekend, I expect lighter trading activity, and it usually results in an upward bias. Additionally, all the bears and lots of bulls are looking for a quick downside here given that Q2 is over AND the possibly non-existent window dressing is over as well.

I expect us to chop around in the range between ES 908.5 and 918 with an upward bias. If we visit the lower end of the range, I will start to scale into longs. If we visit the upper end of the range and breach it, I will look to add shorts around ES 926, ES 930 and so on. There is a good chance we might create a higher high than today.

I will use Jul options mixed with Aug options till Thursday. I do not intend to hold onto any un-hedged Jul options beyond Thursday mid-day. If there is a position that I want to hold over the weekend, very likely I will roll over into August options. The goal here is to eliminate as much of the 3-day theta burn as possible.

Trades for Jul 1, 2009

  • SELL FSLR Jul $160 Calls @ $8.80
  • BUY CME Jul $330 Calls @ $3.30
  • BUY OIH Jul $100 Puts @ $3.30
  • BUY USO Jul $39 Puts @ $1.35
  • SELL CME Jul $340 Calls @ $2.25 (hedging the Jul $330 Calls esp ahead of long weekend)
  • BOT a bunch of puts on GDX, GLD, PCLN, AAPL – details later in the day. Got to go now.
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More Range Trading

Look at the ES Hourly graph for past few days. ES has largely been confined to the range between 908.5 and 919. This graph is from 3 hours ago. And not surprising that about an hour ago, a rally attempt in ES was rejected precisely in the 918-919 region.

ES did make a foray out of this trading range, but swiftly returned back on Tuesday. Let us see what Wednesday presents itself with. I will continue to trade in the range unless proven wrong. I will be looking at TICK to tell me if we have broken out of the range and are trending.

2009-06-30-es-range-trading

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Pumping the Pump As Always

2009-07-01-pumping-the-pump

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SELL FCX Jul $48 Puts @ $1.93

BOT them for average price of $2.00 – 4% loss after commissions.

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SELL GS Jul $145 Puts @ $3.95

Final cost after position management was $3.62 – net profit of 9% after commissions.

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SELL ICE Jul $110 Puts @ $2.33

Final average position cost after position management was $3.00 – 23% loss

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SELL TZA Jul $22.5 calls @ $1.70

BOT them here for $1.84 and managed the position down to $1.57 – 7% profit after commissions

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SELL AAPL Jul $135 Puts @ $1.55

This was one trade that I got stuck into and did not get out in time and violated all my rules. Added more contracts even after my maximum funds allocated to this trade had been exceeded. I am glad that it did not pay off, and that it worked out to be so painful. Important that I learn these lessons with small money.

BOT them for average price of $2.54 – this was a 40% loss trade.

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SELL QID Jul $32 Puts @ $1.40

Trailing stop loss hit.

BOT them here for $1.50 and managed the position down to $1.23 – 12% profit (after commissions)

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BUY FSLR Jul $160 Calls @ $6.60

Just checked my brokerage account – this one got filled a while back. Sorry couldn’t post it earlier

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