My Life My Trade

FAZ sold @ 19.63

SRS sold @ 9.08

TZA sold @ 11.43

Target price: $10.00
Stop @ $8.75 (1 cent below low of the day)

Target price is $12.50

Target price is $20.50 – $20.75 (XLF should retest $15.00 area filling up a gap there – giving a 2% downside to financials and hence 6% upside in FAZ).

A quick peek at the SPX daily chart for past 9 months shows that all retracements to the downside have ended at the prior swing highs. Since nothing much has changed, the expectation is for the prior swing high of 1040 to provide nice support area.There is a small caveat though: As SPX has progressed upwards, the topping around each swing high is becoming smaller and smaller in duration, which means that the support provided by each prior swing high is becoming weaker and weaker.

And one of these days, the prior swing high WILL NOT provide the expected support, which should lead to much significant downside. The most recent swing high around 1070 lasted only 2-3 days. Whenever this region gets tested on the move down, IMO, it will crack.

I didn’t get a chance to post the closings of the past few trades. I just wanted to update that my position is all cash as of yesterday.